This week saw the Asian markets gain the most with the Nikkei gaining 5% over the end of last weeks close. Whereas the UK’s FTSE 100 gained just 2% and the New York Dow Jones 1% – what is positive though is that this is the second week the indexes have gained.

Sterling gained ground this week over the US Dollar by 4%, but this was not due to Sterling strengthening, but more to do with the US Dollar weakening. The US Dollar weakened against the Euro and the Australian Dollar by 5% this week, whereas Sterling lost 2% against the Euro and 1% against the Australian Dollar.

The price of oil jumped this week by a massive 15% ending the week at a recent high of $52.82 per barrel. Also, investors again seek safety in gold with the price per ounce rising by 3% on the week.

End of the week saw:
Stock exchanges:
FTSE 100: 3,843
DOW: 7,278
S&P: 768.54
Nikkei: 7,946

Currencies
UK Sterling £ to US Dollar $ 1.44776
UK Sterling £ to Euro € 1.06158
UK Sterling £ to Japanese Yen 138.620
UK Sterling £ to Aus $ 2.09244
US Dollar $ to Euro € 0.733372
US Dollar $ to Japanese Yen 95.7632
US Dollar $ to Aus $ 1.44600

Commodities
Nymex Crude oil – $52.82
Gold – $954.20

Oil prices are continuing their turbulent ride with Brent Crude falling to just over $50 a barrel earlier this week.

Nymex crude fell to just under the $55 a barrel mark, which represents a fall of 62.5% from the high of $147 a barrel in July 2008! The Nymex barrel price has recovered slightly today by around 2.42% to $57.52. With oil inventories on the rise in the US because of the economic down-turn and with the demand from China being weaker than originally predicted by investors, the price per barrel is expected to remain low for a while.

US Energy Department oil reserves for November 2008 – Oil reserves

Oil prices rocketed above $120 on Thursday as Tropical Storm Gustav approached the Gulf of Mexico – before falling back in a see-saw session.

Having battered Haiti there are fears Gustav may disrupt oil production.

But analysts said a belief that the US government would tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve if this happened, caused prices to fall back.

US light sweet crude ended $2.56 lower at $115.59 a barrel. London Brent crude lost $2.05 to settle at $114.17.

The US has only twice tapped its emergency reserve to respond to disruptions or supply shortage concerns. The most recent saw about 700 million barrels released after Hurricane Katrina.

And the International Energy Agency said it was prepared to tap its emergency stocks if needed.

This prospect was “taking some of the steam out of this (price)rally,” said Jim Ritterbusch, of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates.

The storm is on course to hit the US coast by Monday, and there are fears it may be strengthening into a hurricane.

Inflicting damage

With 85% of US offshore oil and gas production at risk of being affected, analysts predict that oil prices will rise further until Gustav has run its course.

“Oil markets are waiting for Gustav” PetroMatrix analyst Olivier Jakob

UK oil giant Shell has already removed about 400 staff from its offshore facilities in the Gulf of Mexico with another 270 expected to be withdrawn.

“It looks as though the hurricane is on track to inflicting damage,” said Ken Hasegawa, an analyst at broker Newedge in Tokyo.

Fellow oil analyst, Peter McGuire of Commodities Warrants Australia, predicted that the impact of Gustav could lead to oil prices returning above $130 a barrel, a price last seen in July.

“Oil markets are waiting for Gustav,” said PetroMatrix analyst Olivier Jakob.

“It is still potentially going towards the oil assets of the US Gulf but current forecasts are not showing it to be the mother of all hurricanes.”

News reported by The BBC

At first glance Britain’s green fields and ancient woodlands have little in common with deserts of Saudi Arabia or the Texas plains – but the oil deep beneath parts of the UK could be the next frontier in the bid to beat the energy crisis.

A record number of prospectors are scouring scores of sites across the East Midlands, Yorkshire and a swathe of southern England.

The dizzying rise in oil prices over the past year to above $147 a barrel has made even the smallest pockets of oil and gas commercially viable.

Environmentalists fear drilling for oil will ruin some of Britain’s most beautiful landscapes but the government and oil companies say that it will help secure the UK’s energy supplies amid a global grab for oil.

“Indigenous resources are becoming more important for security of supply,” says Mark Abbott, managing director of Egdon Resources, an exploration and production firm that operates an oil field in the Lincolnshire Wolds.

Tiny but growing

The UK’s onshore oil industry is still tiny compared to production in the North Sea but is attracting the attention of companies from as far afield as the US, Australia and Canada.

In May, the government awarded a record 97 new licences to 54 applicants for onshore oil and gas exploration. Five years ago, only eight licences were granted.

Hampshire-based Egdon Resources obtained six of those licences, allowing the firm to prospect for oil and gas in Dorset and the East Midlands.

Mr Abbott says a typical UK oil field will contain one million to 10 million barrels of oil.

“It’s not Saudi Arabia or even the North Sea.

“But if we find oil, it’s quick and easy to put in small, low-key production facilities and then tanker the oil out to refineries,” he says.

‘Prolonged process’

The company has proven reserves of one million barrels of oil – worth around $118m (£63m) at today’s prices and nine million barrels of “contingent reserves” – reserves that in the company’s opinion have a more than 50% chance of production.

“There is a huge global grab for energy going on. We’ve got to make sure that Britain is protected; that we have the energy we need” Malcolm Wicks, Energy Minister

Despite the potential bonanza it’s a tough business.

The firm, which was established in 1997, is loss making and only saw its first sustained oil production in the second half of last year.

Total revenues from oil sales in the six months to January 31 totalled £758,000.

“It’s a prolonged process – developing the ideas, applying for the licences and finding partners. The first three or four years we were quite resource constrained.”

Self-sufficiency

The UK has a long history of oil production.

Onshore drilling in the East Midlands proved vital to the war effort during World War I and the discovery of oil and gas in the North Sea in the late 1960s allowed the UK to become largely self-sufficient in the two resources.

But this is changing. The UK became a net importer of gas in 2004 and is expected to become a net importer of oil by 2010 as production in the North Sea declines from its 1999 peak of about 2.9 million barrels a day.

Building and maintaining offshore platforms is costly and as fields mature there are fears that the return will no longer be enough to cover costs and make big profits.

Drilling onshore costs a tenth of the £10 million to £20 million needed to drill an offshore exploration well, making even small reserves of oil highly profitable at today’s high prices, says Egdon’s Mr Abbott.

“We can operate at $30 to $35 a barrel (of crude). Offshore, only the biggest companies could operate at that level,” he says.

‘Global grab’

The government is keen to encourage companies like Egdon to exploit the UK’s energy resources.

UK OIL PRODUCTION – KEY FACTS

The UK produces 1.6 million barrels of oil a day
Onshore makes up just 1.5% of this
The biggest onshore oil field is BP’s Wytch Farm in Dorset.
It produced 7.6 million barrels of oil last year, around 85% of the UK’s total onshore production.
Source: BP, BERR

“The era of cheap energy is well and truly dead and therefore Britain would do well to get its energy from sensible places and think imaginatively about where those places might be,” Energy Minister Malcolm Wicks told BBC’s Newsnight.

“There is a huge global grab for energy going on. We’ve got to make sure that Britain is protected; that we have the energy we need.”

Energy companies, which must pay an additional 20% levy on top of corporation tax, are also big contributors to the Treasury’s coffers.

According to industry group UK Oil and Gas, the sector paid £7.8bn in taxes in the 2007-2008 financial year and this is forecast to jump to between £12.5bn and £16.5bn next year depending on the direction of oil prices.

Environmental fears

But not everyone shares the government’s enthusiasm for exploiting the UK’s resources.

Environmental groups have been angered by West Sussex County Council’s decision to give permission to Northern Petroleum to drill an exploration well near Chichester.

There are fears that oil production could harm the environment

The site in Markwells Wood is part of the South Downs and a designated area of outstanding natural beauty.

Jacquetta Fewster, director of the South Downs Society, says the drilling would lead to the destruction of trees and hedgerows and the visual impact of the drilling tower and its lighting would be “inappropriate”.

“It’s very quiet, full of wildlife when you walk along the footpaths, you’ll often come a across a deer,” she says.

“Drilling for oil isn’t compatible with a place that should be for quiet contemplation and getting away from urban life.”

Dallas-style boom?

Northern Petroleum says that it will minimise the environmental impact and stresses the economic benefits of oil production.

“It is our opinion that 100 million barrels of oil or even more is recoverable from the UK South of England alone, possibly more,” the company says.

“This would be advantageous to the country, not just for the creation of jobs in the haulage and service maintenance sector for example, but also… in adding a large amount to the chancellor’s purse and reducing the UK’s energy deficit.”

Industry experts say fears of a Dallas-style oil boom in the UK are overstated given the small size of onshore reserves.

The UK has just 0.3% of the world’s proven oil reserves and the lion’s share of these are still under the North Sea.

But while oil prices remain above $100 a barrel, it seems certain that nodding donkeys and drilling rigs will become more commonplace among Britain’s hedgerows, coppices and wheat fields.

News reported by The BBC